Friday, March 13, 2020

Experts: More Testing, Not Travel Ban, Will Curb Pandemic

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Experts: More Testing, Not Travel Ban, Will Curb Pandemic

U.S. President Donald Trump is blocking European travelers from entering the United States. Italy is limiting travel within the country to just the essentials. China locked down tens of millions of people, all in an effort to contain the spread of COVID-19.

While travel bans may slow the outbreak somewhat, a growing body of research is showing that the best tool is one that is falling short in the United States: testing and isolating infected people.

When the coronavirus erupted in Wuhan, China put in place unprecedented measures, limiting people's movement, canceling large gatherings, testing huge numbers of people and isolating the infected.  

Experts say these measures have tamed the epidemic in China. After more than 80,000 infections and more than 3,000 deaths, the country now is reporting just a few dozen cases per day.  

Without those actions, the outbreak would have been 67 times worse, according to a new study published on the preprint server medRxiv.

Other experts have not yet reviewed the study for accuracy.  

Biggest impact

As other countries grapple with their own exploding epidemics, the authors sought to figure out which of the three sets of measures — travel bans, social distancing, and detecting and isolating patients — were most effective.

A street performer sits alone at Fisherman's Wharf in San Francisco, March 12, 2020. Gov. Gavin Newsom said sweeping guidance for Californians to avoid unnecessary gatherings to prevent the spread of coronavirus will likely extend beyond March.

"The most important one, the biggest effect, was the early detection and isolation of cases,"  said Andrew Tatem of the University of South Hampton who co-authored the report.  

Without early detection and isolation, China would have seen five times as many cases. Without social distancing, there would have been 2.6 times more, according to the study.  

"But importantly, all three of those together had the biggest effect," Tatem added.  

Travel restrictions have a role to play, he said. They likely contributed less than the other measures in part because an estimated 5 million people had already left Wuhan, the epicenter of the outbreak, by the time authorities imposed them.  

"Acting early is pretty important," Tatem added.  

An earlier study found that China's travel ban slowed the outbreak there by just 3 to 5 days, and internationally by 2 to 3 weeks.

Too little, too late

Trump said travel restrictions he imposed on China in February delayed the outbreak in the United States, and restricting travel from Europe would have the same effect.

"The European Union failed to take the same precautions and restrict travel from China and other hotspots," Trump said in an Oval Office address Wednesday. "As a result, a large number of new clusters in the United States were seeded by travelers from Europe."

However, with coronavirus already spreading across the United States, experts say the new restrictions are unlikely to make much of a difference in this country.

"If you want to take a lesson from (the new study)," said virologist Christopher Mores at George Washington University, "it's that travel bans might be very effective at reducing the likelihood of (virus) introduction" at the beginning of an epidemic, "but once it's there, (containment) is wholly dependent on case isolation and social distancing."

"What is the ongoing value of a travel ban alone?" he added. "We're not doing the other things."

U.S. health authorities are struggling to identify and isolate patients because of a lack of testing capacity, despite assurances from Trump that testing is "going very smooth."

The gates to Gila River Arena, home of the Arizona Coyotes hockey team, are all closed and locked since the Coyotes' scheduled hockey game with the Vancouver Canucks was canceled in Glendale, Ariz., March 12, 2020.

"The system is not geared toward what we need right now," National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases chief Dr. Anthony Fauci told Congress Thursday. "That is a failing. Let's admit it."

Emotional reactions

Without good information on where and how the virus is spreading in the United States, school closures, event cancellations and other social distancing measures are happening without any data to back them up, Mores said.

"We can end up with a whole lot of decisions that are emotional," he added, "and have great potential to either under- or overreact."

Some of these measures may be best left in place for months to keep the virus from roaring back, Tatem's study notes, which would be hugely disruptive and a massive hit to the economy.  

With so many unknowns still surrounding how this new virus behaves, it's not clear when it will be OK to let up. For that matter, it's not entirely clear when it's best to clamp down.  

"The timing is important to consider," noted Georgetown University health policy expert Claire Standley. "At what point does that trigger need to be pulled? And is it better to go straight to the full-on interventions first, rather than waiting for cases to explode in the meantime?"

"I don't know the answer to this," she said. "I don't know if anyone does."
 


March 13, 2020 at 09:58AM

Thursday, March 12, 2020

African Association (UK)

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African Association (UK)

Irnm98: remove comment




The '''African Association,''' known as the '''Pan-African Association''' after 1900, was an organization formed by leaders of [[Black people|African descent]] to mobilize and unify efforts against [[imperialism]], especially that of the [[British Empire]]. [[Henry Sylvester-Williams|Henry Sylvester Williams]] initiated the creation of the African Association, which was formalized on September 14, 1897, at its headquarters in [[London]]. The Association is best known for organizing the [[First Pan-African Conference|First Pan-African Conference,]] which took place in London in July 1900.

==Goals==

The African Association initially focused on providing information on rights and privileges for Africans who were subjects of the British Empire. Recognizing the need for an inclusion of African individuals on a global scale, the association shifted its aspirations in 1899, establishing itself as an international association to actualize African liberation across the world, rather than just the British Empire. The African Association listed its goals:

# Promote unity
# Improve relations amongst Africans
# Promote the interests of Africans
# Circulate information to teach Africans about their rights and privileges
# Inform the British public about occurrences in other parts of the world
# Inform people of, and potentially change laws for blacks in South Africa<ref name="Sherwood" />

==Development==

=== Early Formation ===
[[File:S. Williams 1905.png|thumb|Henry Sylvester Williams, ca. 1905]]
Liberation leaders and activists recognized the need for an international association to unite [[Anti-imperialism|anti-imperialist]] and black liberation efforts across nations.<ref name="Schneer" /> To this end, Henry Sylvester Williams, a [[Trinidad|Trinidadian]] lawyer, recognized the need to focus on educating the British public. He believed the British public was unaware of the oppression and sub-standard conditions that non-whites were enduring throughout the British Empire.<ref name="Schneer">Liquid error: wrong number of arguments (given 1, expected 2)</ref> Williams sought to establish the association in London, as London had become the locus of anti-imperialist movements, activism, and organization.<ref name=":0"></ref> Despite the comparatively progressive character of metropolitan London, white sympathizers advised against the founding of the African Association, claiming that black people were not capable of forming independent political organisations.<ref name="Schneer" /> Because of this conflict, active membership was restricted to black people but "white" individuals could become honorary members.<ref name="Geiss" />

In addition to general desire for the African Association, contemporary political events spurred its creation. The founders argued that  British colonial governments were creating a "new form of slavery" in [[Sultanate of Zanzibar|Zanzibar]] and [[East Africa Protectorate|East Africa]].<ref name="Sherwood" /> A letter from A. Kinlock, printed on ''[[The Friend (Quaker magazine)|The Friend]]'', the journal of the [[Quakers|Society of Friends]], on October 22, 1897, suggested that the association may have taken conditions in South Africa into account as well.<ref name="Sherwood" />

=== First Meeting ===
Little is known about the initial public meeting of the African Association except for brief mentions of its establishment in newspapers and the reports of the other groups. The meeting was organized sometime between September and November 1897 at [[Exeter Hall|Exeter Hall,]] London.<ref name="Sherwood" />

People who attended this meeting generally had working experience in the colonial government, including two members of the [[Parliament of the United Kingdom|British parliament]]. Members were mainly from the Caribbean and West Africa, including religious leaders, political activists, educators, authors, and editors. Several women were also members, though they were titled as honorary members.

=== Political Agenda ===
The association's second public meeting was held on January 11, 1898, again at Exeter Hall.<ref name="Sherwood" /> After this meeting, the association quickly began work on their political agenda. In March 1898, Williams and Reverend Mason Joseph sought to interview the then [[Secretary of State for the Colonies]], [[Joseph Chamberlain]] at the [[Colonial Office]] on two separate occasions. Both requests were rejected. A Memorial, written after the first rejection, suggested changes for the sugar industry in [[British West Indies]], advocating for small businesses to " 'reap a greater profit and for the greater exploitation of the 'geographical resources of the West India Colonies.' "<ref name="Sherwood" /> It also demanded strong measures against monopolies, supported better education, and measures to finance new farmers. Moreover, it aimed to lessen the cost of transferring land which Williams and Joseph argued was preventing people from acquiring [[Crown land]].<ref name="Sherwood" /> [[Minutes]] from the Parliament indicates this Memorial had been circulated among several members of parliament, as some had questioned Chamberlain on these issues. Nevertheless, no action was taken.

The Association held its [[annual general meeting]] on October 25, 1898. There, the Association published its first annual report and adopted two resolutions. One called for the British government to "meet the needs of the depressed condition of the islands," and protect "the rights of Native African races brought under British rule and to protect their interests from the caprices of the [[Chartered company|Chartered Companies.]]" <ref name="Sherwood" /> The other urged the establishment of Association branches in different colonies of the British Empire.

The Association's activities in 1899 were not documented as well as the years prior. The abolition of the [[Port-of-Spain Council]] created newer issues on the Association's advocacy agenda. The Liberal MP [[Harold Cox]] arranged a meeting between the [[House of Commons]] and the African Association, attended by figures from the APS and some anti-imperialist MPs. Here, Williams presented a petition that raises questions over the lack of representation of colonial subjects in the government. He requested specifically the re-establishment of the [[Borough of Port-of-Spain]] and certain forms of representation in the government. Chamberlain rejected this petition and reform altogether.

On another occasion, the Association took up the issue of the [[Human zoo|displaying of Africans as part of shows]]. Notably, another petition also reached [[Wilhelm II, German Emperor|Wilhem II]], the German Emperor, concerning similar issues and widening the Association's advocacy beyond Great Britain.<ref name="Sherwood" />

By early 1900, the association changed its office space from [[Gray's Inn|Gray's Inn]] to 139 Palace Chambers, 9 Bridge Street, London SW, and adopted the new name The Pan African Conference Committee (PAC).<ref name="Sherwood" />

=== Publicity ===
During 1898, Williams traveled extensively lecturing, establishing contacts, and increasing support. He met with members of the [[Aborigines' Protection Society|Aborigines Protection Society]] (APS), the [[Anti-Slavery Society]], the [[South Place Ethical Society]], the [[Liberal Party (UK)|Liberal Party]], Society of Friends and the [[Unitarianism|Unitarians]].<ref name="Sherwood" /> The list of the honorary members expanded to include another MP, more religious leaders, and women. The Association established its first American contact, [[D. Augustus Straker]].<ref name="Sherwood" />

In addition to organisations and societies, Williams and the association maintained contact with several black leaders, including [[Booker T. Washington]]. Together they attended one of the annual general meetings of the APS, where they challenged [[Albert Grey, 4th Earl Grey|Albert Grey]], a member of the board of the [[British South Africa Company]], about the conditions of native African population.<ref name="Sherwood" /> With the help of Washington's articles in various newspapers, the African Association became better known.

==First Pan-African Conference==

[[File:Invitation to Pan-African Conference at Westminster Town Hall July 1900.png|thumb|Invitation to the First Pan-African Conference, held July 23-25 1900]]
Much of the Association's work and Williams' travels were dedicated to publicizing and organizing the First Pan-African Conference, which took place in London in July 1900. In articles advertising the Conference, supporters of the African Association were numbered as 87 in England, 37 in Scotland, and 28 in Dublin.<ref name="Sherwood" /> The Pan-African Conference was the beginnings  of the 'Pan-African' global political movement that would emerge.<ref name=":0" />

The First Pan-African Conference faced financial difficulties but managed to get by with support from a few wealthy members.<ref name="Sherwood" /> Williams expected Washington, or at least his representative, to attend the conference. However, Washington could not attend, to which  Williams, in his correspondence, expressed regret.<ref name="Sherwood" /> Despite this, Washington continued to help Williams publicize the Conference. While in London, he attended several preparatory meetings and helped craft the program for the Conference, which covered "existing conditions, slavery, progress, African history, demands for 'Europe's atonement for wrongs' and the 'organised plunder' of Europeans."<ref name="Sherwood" />

=== The Pan-African Association ===
On the last day of conference, July 25, 1900, the African Association changed its name to Pan-African Association (PAA). It also changed its objective:<blockquote>[Securing] civil and political rights for Africans and their descendants throughout the world; to encourage friendly relations between the Caucasian and African races; to encourage African people everywhere in educational, industrial and commercial enterprise; to approach Governments and influence legislation in the interests of the black races; and to amelio rate the condition of the oppressed negro in all parts of the world.<ref name="Sherwood" /> </blockquote>The permanent office changed to Room 416, 61-2 [[Chancery Lane]], in central London.<ref name="Sherwood" /> Additionally, the Association created a bureau to collect information, data, and statistics on the conditions of Africans around the world.<ref name="Adi">Liquid error: wrong number of arguments (given 1, expected 2)</ref> Branches in Africa, the West Indies, and the United States were established, and a general meeting was to be organized every two years, first in the U.S. then Haiti.<ref name="Adi" />

Other resolutions were passed in addition to the name change. One emphasizes an integral part of the Anti-Slavery Society's works with the PAA's vision. Another delivered the Association's "sincerest gratitude [for works] by the Native Races and Liquor Traffic United Committee" in prohibiting the traffic of liquors among native Africans. A memorial was sent to [[Queen Victoria]], requesting "more civilised" measures against the social conditions for the natives in South Africa.<ref name="Adi" />

A sub-committee headed by [[W. E. B. Du Bois]] drafted the "Address to the Nations of the World," which called on European leaders to struggle against racism and [[Disfranchisement|disenfranchisement]] and protect the right to self-government for African populations. It criticized conditions experienced by Africans in "the US, the colonies ruled by France and Germany, and the Congo Free State, as well as [[Ethiopian Empire|Abyssinia]], [Haiti], and Liberia, and the 'independent tribes of Africa.'"<ref name="Geiss" /> The draft included the famous line:<blockquote>The problem of the 20th century is the problem of the colour-line — the question as to how far differences of race which show themselves chiefly in the colour of the skin and the texture of the hair are going to be made hereafter the basis of denying to over half the world the right of sharing to their utmost ability the opportunities and privileges of modern civilisation.<ref name="Sherwood" /></blockquote>

=== Reception ===
In general, the Conference was well-received. Bishop Walters received letters from across the world praising the work of the Pan-African Association.<ref name="Sherwood" />

The Association and the conference itself were mentioned in several newspapers. However, West Indian newspapers mostly complained about the overconfidence in the conditions in South Africa, given it was negotiated by "colonists." These news reports were also critical of the exaggeration of the experiences of black people in North America and claim that there is no need to re-emigrate back to Africa.<ref name="Sherwood" />

Many newspapers report the "Address to the Nations of the World;" however, the famous line was intentionally left out as well as parts that called for African self-government.

==After 1900==

=== Jamaica ===
In 1901, Williams decided to take the PAA's advocacy efforts directly to the people of the Americas.

He arrived in Jamaica on March 1, 1901, where he stayed with H. R. Cargill, the only member of the Association in Jamaica.<ref name="Sherwood" /> In an interview with ''[[Gleaner Company|The Gleaner]]'', Williams explained that the PAA would represent the African subjects' voice and that the PAA "was in no way antagonistic to the British government. If the Negro were everywhere treated in a liberal, just and enlightened manner, he would become a better, more loyal and more valuable citizen."<ref name="Sherwood" />

Williams traveled extensively around Jamaica, setting up various branches of the PAA on the island, which were attended by many well-known figures. However, there were immediate disagreements, especially between Williams and the then Acting Governor, [[Sydney Olivier, 1st Baron Olivier|Sydney Olivier]], who claimed that black people in Jamaica were not oppressed:<blockquote>[The] Negro race in Africa is far back in the race for progress and needs help to bring them up in line with their more fortunate brethren in the West Indies and in America who had been considerably elevated by being brought into close touch with the white races."<ref name="Sherwood" /></blockquote>After two months in Jamaica, Williams departed for Trinidad.
=== Trinidad ===
The first meeting of the PAA in Trinidad was organized on May 31, 1901, and was reportedly attended by "a thousand persons." It was chaired by [[Edgar Maresse-Smith]], an avid supporter of Williams.<ref name="Sherwood" /> Williams was introduced by the local lawyer [[Emmanuel Mzumbo Lazare|Emmanuel Lazare]]. In this meeting, Williams announced the Queen's and Chamberlain's promises, demanded further provisions from the states on behalf of the PAA, and advocated for the rights and privileges for Trinidadians as full British subjects. The meeting also criticized the ongoing racial and class inequalities and called for Trinidadians to be more outspoken.<ref name="Sherwood" />

On June 28, 1901, the PAA's Trinidad branch was officially launched. In mid-July, Williams departed for the United States, where, despite a large African-American population, he and the PAA were not able to harness as much enthusiasm as in the West Indies.

==Dissolution==

According to the ''The Pan-African'', the Association's journal, the PAA ceased operations due to budgetary issues. However, recent scholarship suggests that the reasons for the Association's dissolution were more about personal politics. As Gwilym Colenso and Christopher Saunders explain, Frank Colenso, in his correspondence with Walters, criticized Williams for his " 'improper use of the title and method of organisation of the late association.' " <ref name="Colenso and Saunders">Liquid error: wrong number of arguments (given 1, expected 2)</ref> Colenso disapproved of Williams "[taking] policy decisions or making constitutional changes without reference to other committee members or to officers."<ref name="Colenso and Saunders" />

Furthermore, while bearing the title of "Pan-African," the PAA advocated solely for conditions of the native African populations in British colonies and protectorate. In particular, Frank Colenso saw Williams' work as being  "within a framework which was Anglo-African rather than Afro-American,"<ref name="Colenso and Saunders" /> thus "'denying'" Pan-Africanism. These disagreements between the American and British members within the PAA were another trigger of the PAA's disbandment.

With Williams away in the Americas, Colenso was able to act more independently and eventually take over power from Williams. However, his decision to dissolve the PAA was not a unilateral. There were other members and executives, who Colenso referred to as "'my colleagues,'" that did raise objections.<ref name="Colenso and Saunders" />

==People==
{| class="wikitable"
|+Board of the Pan-African Association (1900-1901)<ref name="Sherwood">Liquid error: wrong number of arguments (given 1, expected 2)</ref> 98,99
|'''Title'''
|'''Name'''
|'''notes'''
|-
|President
|[[Alexander Walters|Bishop Alexander Walters]]
|
* Walters was born into slavery in Kentucky in 1858.
* He served as president of the [[National Afro-American Council]], and was a member of the [[National Association for the Advancement of Colored People]].
|-
|Vice President
|[[Reverend Henry B. Brown]]
|
|-
|General Secretary
|Henry Sylvester Williams
|
|-
|Treasurer
|Frank Colenso
|
* Frank Colenso's brother, Robert Colenso, is demarcated as the Treasurer, but scholars suggest Frank Colenso was actually the treasurer. (S. O. 150)
* Frank Colenso born in South Africa to [[John Colenso]] and Sarah Frances Bunyon. He was educated as a barrister at [[University of Cambridge]] and became involved in the African Association in part because of his activism for Zulus and other natives of South Africa. (Gwilym Colenso)
|-
|General Delegate for Africa
|[[Benito Sylvain]]
|
* Sylvain was a Haitian journalist, diplomat, and lawyer.
|}
Executive Committee members:<ref name="Sherwood" />

* [[John Archer (British politician)|John Richard Archer]]
* [[Anna J. Cooper|Anna Julia Haywood Cooper]]
*[[Samuel Coleridge-Taylor]]
* [[Henry Francis Downing|Henry F. Downing]]
*[[Frederick J. Loudin]]
* [[Jane Cobden|Mrs. Jane Cobden Unwin]]

== Legacy ==

The Pan-African Association introduced [[Pan-Africanism]] as an ideology distinct from the [[Abolitionism in the United Kingdom|abolitionist movement in the British Empire]]. The conferences and meetings organized by the Association helped to create transnational links between activists of African descent.

Despite the PAA's dissolution, its branch in Jamaica continued to advocate for the same objectives, though under a different name, until at least 1903.<ref name="Sherwood" />

In Trinidad, the PAA's branch maintained enough momentum that local newspapers continued to report its meetings.<ref name="Sherwood" /> The branch continued to petition the British government in the hopes that [[Edward VIII|King Edward]] would extend the political rights of colonial subjects.<ref name="Sherwood" /> At various fundraising concerts, the branch attempted to further support from other [[British Caribbean|British Caribbean colonies]] as well.<ref name="Sherwood" /> Despite close connections between Williams and the Association's representative, Lazare, there was not enough enthusiasm for the PAA to continue operation. It died out in late 1901, when many original supporters moved on to create a new association with more local visions.<ref name="Sherwood" />

"Pan-Africanism" replaced Du Bois's "Pan-Negroism" and signified a more universal type of advocacy for the rights of native African population in the colonies and African descendants elsewhere. In addition, the model that the Association proposed, with congresses and meetings organized annually, paved the way for the formation of the [[Pan-African Congress]].<ref name="Geiss">Liquid error: wrong number of arguments (given 1, expected 2)</ref>
==See also==

*[[Pan-Africanism]]
*[[First Pan-African Conference]]
*[[Pan-African Congress]]
*[[Henry Sylvester Williams]]

== References ==
<references />

== Bibliography ==
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March 13, 2020 at 09:59AM

Uzbek Investment Dispute Highlights Pitfalls Facing Emerging Economies

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Uzbek Investment Dispute Highlights Pitfalls Facing Emerging Economies

It was to have been a benchmark deal, not only bringing a new energy source to Central Asia's most populous country, but also signaling that Uzbekistan, after decades of insular authoritarian rule, wanted to be a player in the global marketplace.

But two years later, the $1.3 billion contract to build a national solar energy generation system languishes with an uncertain future, providing an object lesson for other emerging economies seeking to open their markets to international investors.

This was not Uzbekistan's first bid to open up an economy that had long stagnated under the rule of dictator Islam Karimov. Since coming to power in 2016, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev has made attracting foreign direct investment one of his top priorities.

His government has opened new sectors of the economy to competitive tenders; tapped global debt markets with a $1 billion Eurobond; and signed a spate of investment contracts with companies from advanced industrial economies including France, Canada and the United States. 

"Uzbekistan is not the same anymore. I personally guarantee that. We will create all necessary legal and institutional conditions" to make Uzbekistan attractive to investors, Mirziyoyev said during a recent visit to Turkey.    

But the contract with SkyPower Global, a Canada-based but majority-American-owned energy company, stands out, both for its sheer size and for what has since befallen it.

FILE - Canada-based SkyPower Global says it is committed to building 1,000 MW of solar energy generation capacity in Uzbekistan.

The agreement was to provide solar energy generation capacity throughout Uzbekistan, marking the country's first large-scale power purchase agreement. But the deal remains stuck over the nation's failure to deliver on a promised payment guarantee.

The guarantee would ensure that SkyPower's costs would be covered even if its state-owned partner, UzbekEnergo, failed to pay as contracted for the energy it received. Without that assurance, CEO Kerry Adler told VOA in an interview, SkyPower simply cannot work in Uzbekistan.

Adler said Mirziyoyev personally persuaded him to invest in Uzbekistan during a 2017 business dinner in New York, arguing that his country needed solar power infrastructure and wanted to learn from SkyPower's experience.

"I looked President Mirziyoyev in the eyes, and said, 'I want to know, if I'm able to get approval from our board to make a sizable investment, are you going to follow through with all these reforms and commitments that you've laid out to hundreds of people in the room at this dinner?' And this is on the sidelines of the U.N. He shook my hand, he said, 'Be in Tashkent in two weeks,' " Adler said.
  
The Uzbek government has not issued any formal explanation for the holdup. However, reliable sources in Tashkent have identified at least two major issues to VOA.
  
First, the Uzbek side has had cold feet about the cost: SkyPower-produced energy will be priced at 6 cents per kilowatt hour, but more affordable offers have since come along. Second, Uzbek laws do not allow the Ministry of Finance to provide the payment guarantee that SkyPower wants.

Mirziyoyev issued a decree in April 2018 ordering the ministry to provide such a document and instructing relevant parts of the government to work with SkyPower. Still, the legal system has not been adjusted to permit it.

"The decree said this contract is valid. This is with UzbekEnergo, who's now become the national power company, and the president directed his minister of finance to forthwith, immediately issue a payment guarantee, because … Uzbekistan doesn't even have an investment grade credit rating today," Adler said.

"Trust is something you cannot buy. And if some guy at the top is saying, 'Trust me, trust me, trust me,' but all the guys underneath, they're cutting out his legs and not following his directive, then no one's going to come," Adler added. 

  
The U.S. government has urged Tashkent to honor its contracts, and the case has become a crucial test for Mirziyoyev's government, not least because of the size and scale of the proposed project.

As other present and potential investors anxiously watch, Adler looks to Mirziyoyev himself to break the logjam.

"It's the people beneath him that are not executing — that is causing consternation, and it's got a lot of investors on the fence. Is this real, or is this not real? To the point where people are wondering: Why would they not honor a contract? Why don't they honor a president's decree? You know what the response is? No response," Adler said.  

Adler said he believes Mirziyoyev is serious about economic reform. "The problem is the decision-making below the president, or the desire of decision-makers below the president to overcome fear of making the wrong decision. So fear is one of the greatest inhibitors … no one wants to be the one to make the decision, whether it's the smallest thing, like a piece of land, or whether it's issuing a sovereign guarantee."  

Adler said his company is still very much committed to the deal, and is simply asking Uzbekistan to follow international business norms.   

President Shavkat Mirziyoyev says Uzbekistan is wide open for business. (president.uz)

Within a few hours of VOA's interview with Adler going online, Uzbekistan's Ministry of Investments and Foreign Trade reached out to the company and there have been at least two meetings, including a videoconference between Tashkent and Toronto.

In an October 2019 interview with VOA and in speeches, Minister Sardor Umurzakov said that Uzbekistan was learning to work with Western investors, hearing their grievances, and dealing with the issues that current and potential ones fear.

Evan Feigenbaum, vice president of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said Uzbekistan is not the first emerging economy to be confounded by expectations it has created. 

"It's really interesting to see how governments that chase foreign investment then find themselves challenged by the high expectations of those investors for stability, predictability and the assimilation of global best practices — or at minimum, better practices," he said.

"Investment is, ultimately, a vote of confidence in an economy — companies that invest ...  actually pay a great compliment to a country when they choose to put their money into people, plants and assets. So it will be interesting to see not just whether the case gets resolved but whether and how that, in turn, says something bigger about the direction of reforms there," Feigenbaum added.

Adler fondly recalls Mirziyoyev's guarantee that investors in Uzbekistan would operate in a transparent, honorable, ethical environment, where the rule of law is followed.

"OK, well, if the rule of law is followed, you have a contract, you've issued a presidential decree, honor your word," Adler said. "Because otherwise, if your word is not worth anything … why should anybody come to Uzbekistan?

"He has a chance to make it right. SkyPower is his chance to make it right. The world is watching."


March 13, 2020 at 05:34AM

注目の投稿

揺れ動く米朝関係:サミット開催を巡る不確実性と2026年の現在地

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